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The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −510.20₽

Invest at least 1 467.92₽

Average return 957.73₽

ROI −34.8%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 1 467.92 ₽, profit at most −510.20 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

345.65 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×3

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

113.34 ₽

at 37.78

Steam

×2

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

162.00 ₽

at 81.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 620.99 ₽ +336.74 (+54.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

47.09 ₽

at 47.09

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

138.26 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

37.78 ₽

at 37.78

Steam

×6

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

486.00 ₽

at 81.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 709.13 ₽ +401.01 (+56.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 286.79 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 104.49 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 227.45 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

458.90 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 631.13 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

685.43 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

450.83 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

89.70 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +181.36 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +300.22 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697359 · The Horizon Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 446.48₽ · invest 611.32₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.168740
Craft 2676839 · The Ascent Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 394.14₽ · invest 583.72₽
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.168740
Craft 2702425 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 377.77₽ · invest 506.44₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.168740
Craft 2694551 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 367.99₽ · invest 502.04₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163465 instead of 0.168740; AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.076518
Craft 2701233 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 351.14₽ · invest 559.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161804 instead of 0.168740; AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.076518
Craft 2696741 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 337.17₽ · invest 630.99₽
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168329 instead of 0.168740; AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076375 instead of 0.076518

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build