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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.85$

Invest at least 2.04$

Average return 1.19$

ROI −41.8%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 2.04 $, profit at most −0.85 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.08 $

at 0.08

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

0.17 $

at 0.17

Steam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.33 $

at 0.06

Steam

×2

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

0.31 $

at 0.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.88 $ +0.30 (+34.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.23 $

at 0.08

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

0.51 $

at 0.17

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.22 $

at 0.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.96 $ +0.27 (+27.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.46 $

at 0.08

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

0.51 $

at 0.17

Steam

×1

AUG | Steel Sentinel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

0.05 $

at 0.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.02 $ +0.24 (+23.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.15 $

at 0.08

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.51 $

at 0.17

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.28 $

at 0.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.94 $ +0.28 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.08 $

at 0.08

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.51 $

at 0.17

Steam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.33 $

at 0.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.92 $ +0.29 (+31.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

FAMAS | 2A2F

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080634

1.02 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Green Line

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093761

1.14 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093761

0.85 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.37 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.060944

2.43 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.065632

1.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.061882

0.85 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.065632

0.85 $ 5.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.08 → 0.16 $

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.17 → 0.37 $

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 0.33 → 0.83 $

Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.31 → 0.68 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.093761411

outcomes come out up to 0.080634, 0.093761, 0.093761, 0.069999, 0.060944, 0.065632, 0.061882, 0.065632

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2675458 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 0.90$
Five-SeveN | Desert Seal (Field-Tested), PP-Bizon | Traitor (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074753 instead of 0.074011; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): float at most 0.004159 instead of 0.003510
Craft 2678109 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 0.84$
P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074295 instead of 0.074011; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): float at most 0.003758 instead of 0.003510
Craft 2702442 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 0.82$
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 2698971 · The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.23$ · invest 0.85$
PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074207 instead of 0.074011; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): float at most 0.003681 instead of 0.003510

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build