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The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1 914.03₴

Invest at least 5 611.42₴

Average return 3 697.39₴

ROI −34.1%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 5 611.42 ₴, profit at most −1 914.03 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

192.85 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 697.93 ₴

at 339.59

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

445.11 ₴

at 445.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 335.89 ₴ +1 361.50 (+58.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 172 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

144.64 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

401.06 ₴

at 401.06

Steam

×6

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2 670.64 ₴

at 445.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 216.34 ₴ +98.66 (+3.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

192.85 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 358.34 ₴

at 339.59

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

890.21 ₴

at 445.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 441.41 ₴ +1 192.24 (+48.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −111 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

192.85 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 018.76 ₴

at 339.59

Steam

×3

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 335.32 ₴

at 445.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 546.93 ₴ +1 022.99 (+40.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −565 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

192.85 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

679.17 ₴

at 339.59

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 780.43 ₴

at 445.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 652.45 ₴ +853.74 (+32.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 123.83 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 881.85 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

970.17 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

3 374.89 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

4 704.21 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

2 698.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 only The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +702.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 140.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2696142 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 328.28₴ · invest 2 568.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2675927 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 294.83₴ · invest 2 231.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2670445 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 292.90₴ · invest 2 416.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.003977

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build