The Recoil Collection + The Horizon Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −266 949.89₸

Invest at least 597 158.51₸

Average return 330 208.56₸

ROI −44.7%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 597 158.51 ₸, profit at most −266 949.89 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 981 ₸

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −91 146.53 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

163 278.15 ₸

at 40 819.54

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

97 687.81 ₸

at 97 687.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 260 965.96 ₸ +69 242.61 (+26.5%)

What you get 76 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 802.30 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

443 881.03 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 622.77 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 123.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434 999.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507 046.44 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 806.18 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 778.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 416.05 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 040.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 999.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 785.31 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

395 038.59 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

722 754.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438 214.48 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 509.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

449 090.43 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 774.00 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 220 151.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 928.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611 039.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 088.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140 262.24 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

49 689.72 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

51 056.70 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

90 592.38 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65 014.17 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

91 737.03 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 736.59 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

310 120.09 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 349.85 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 547.38 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

240 359.03 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

240 359.03 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

305 780.37 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

171 131.51 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

380 943.54 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 362.20 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

206 719.72 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

604 010.07 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108 839.64 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 550.05 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

166 144.06 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

219 663.72 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 527.67 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

77 111.97 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

91 349.44 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

72 497.13 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

151 470.82 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 993.42 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 574.98 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276 733.82 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 382.83 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 805.81 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146 516.74 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302 238.41 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

463 704.97 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

421 968.21 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

459 968.72 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

219 102.74 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

779 726.90 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 159.70 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249 567.87 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

286 837.09 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

549 999.02 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775 300.32 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

38 097.19 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

22 938.65 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

91 479.26 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

165 628.37 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 163 278.15 → 386 152.83 ₸

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 97 687.81 → 211 005.67 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +54 951.26 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67 800.59 ₸ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2707033 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 72 440.33₸ · invest 273 610.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −83 181 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009208 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2707035 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 72 440.33₸ · invest 273 610.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −83 181 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009208 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2706725 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 69 242.63₸ · invest 260 965.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −93 981 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 76 outcomes

More

How to build