The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −218 137.51₸

Invest at least 588 567.62₸

Average return 370 430.11₸

ROI −37.1%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 588 567.62 ₸, profit at most −218 137.51 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 768 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −80 697.61 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

93 710.56 ₸

at 93 710.56

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

163 278.15 ₸

at 40 819.54

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 256 988.71 ₸ +113 441.40 (+44.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −163 550 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

281 131.69 ₸

at 93 710.56

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

81 639.08 ₸

at 40 819.54

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 362 770.77 ₸ +7 659.35 (+2.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 659 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

187 421.13 ₸

at 93 710.56

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

122 458.61 ₸

at 40 819.54

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 309 879.74 ₸ +60 550.37 (+19.5%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 29%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 802.30 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

443 881.03 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 622.77 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 123.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434 999.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507 046.44 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 806.18 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 778.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 416.05 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 040.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 999.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 785.31 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

395 038.59 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

722 754.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438 214.48 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 509.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

449 090.43 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 774.00 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 220 151.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 928.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611 039.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 088.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140 262.24 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 802.30 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

443 881.03 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 622.77 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 123.93 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434 999.29 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507 046.44 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 806.18 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 778.20 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 416.05 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 040.88 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 999.40 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 785.31 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

395 038.59 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

722 754.08 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438 214.48 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 509.08 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

449 090.43 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 774.00 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 220 151.20 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 928.78 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611 039.20 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 088.68 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140 262.24 ₸ 0.83%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +99 684.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112 280.64 ₸ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2705775 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 122 453.51₸ · invest 223 597.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 168 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2705776 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 122 453.51₸ · invest 223 597.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 168 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2706971 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 119 860.96₸ · invest 203 488.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 347 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2706973 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 119 860.96₸ · invest 203 488.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 347 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2707031 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 119 477.47₸ · invest 226 573.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 144 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2707032 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 119 477.47₸ · invest 226 573.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 144 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2707021 · The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 119 140.93₸ · invest 205 912.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −44 757 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2707023 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 119 140.93₸ · invest 205 912.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −44 757 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2706829 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 113 441.41₸ · invest 256 988.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −57 768 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2706801 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 113 320.41₸ · invest 197 698.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 909 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2706803 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 113 320.41₸ · invest 197 698.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 909 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build