The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −144 383.96₸

Invest at least 519 395.82₸

Average return 375 011.86₸

ROI −27.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 519 395.82 ₸, profit at most −144 383.96 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −540 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −69 296.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

180 678.89 ₸

at 45 169.72

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

42 634.38 ₸

at 42 634.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 223 313.27 ₸ +151 698.58 (+67.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 475 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0110

135 509.17 ₸

at 45 169.72

Steam

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0110

85 268.77 ₸

at 42 634.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 220 777.94 ₸ +96 367.65 (+43.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 409 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

90 339.44 ₸

at 45 169.72

Steam

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

127 903.15 ₸

at 42 634.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 218 242.60 ₸ +41 036.77 (+18.8%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

279 512.92 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 139.09 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 826.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140 263.38 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 926.41 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 349.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440 833.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195 938.39 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643 993.50 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

941 004.76 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 770.61 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 923.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 625.03 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 281.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

432 633.01 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 795.89 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563 131.72 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 630 290.98 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

997 324.69 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311 537.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 120.43 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 636.45 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 159.80 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 242.74 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

95 235.15 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

111 563.94 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134 768.11 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

662 513.55 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

504 017.56 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 879.80 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222 215.34 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 226.18 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 888.54 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

37 717.41 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +129 790.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +147 870.10 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2707061 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 152 035.11₸ · invest 243 974.08₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2707062 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 152 035.11₸ · invest 243 974.08₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2707053 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 151 698.58₸ · invest 223 313.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −540 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2706833 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 145 999.05₸ · invest 274 389.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 550 ₸ sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price цена ненадёжна rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706835 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 145 999.05₸ · invest 274 389.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 550 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706805 · The Revolution Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 145 878.06₸ · invest 215 099.34₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706806 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 145 878.06₸ · invest 215 099.34₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706417 · The Revolution Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 141 345.70₸ · invest 235 104.92₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706418 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 141 345.70₸ · invest 235 104.92₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2705699 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 140 059.06₸ · invest 255 950.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 903 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2705700 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 140 059.06₸ · invest 255 950.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 903 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706067 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 139 984.46₸ · invest 251 258.91₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 371 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706068 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 139 984.46₸ · invest 251 258.91₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 371 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706509 · The Revolution Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 138 994.73₸ · invest 225 417.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706510 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 138 994.73₸ · invest 225 417.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706951 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 138 694.76₸ · invest 234 613.38₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706952 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 138 694.76₸ · invest 234 613.38₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706609 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 138 307.88₸ · invest 257 964.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 526 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2706610 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 138 307.88₸ · invest 257 964.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 526 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build