The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −35 341.93₴

Invest at least 45 578.01₴

Average return 10 236.07₴

ROI −77.5%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 45 578.01 ₴, profit at most −35 341.93 ₴

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 32.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −13 169.11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

6 044.32 ₴

at 3 022.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

8 270.38 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

6 454.87 ₴

at 6 454.87

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 769.57 ₴ −10 533.50 (−50.7%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 25.7% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0859

3 022.16 ₴

at 3 022.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0139

8 270.38 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0859

12 909.73 ₴

at 6 454.87

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 24 202.28 ₴ −9 954.37 (−41.1%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 19.4% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3 022.16 ₴

at 3 022.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

4 135.19 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

19 364.60 ₴

at 6 454.87

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 26 521.95 ₴ −8 262.21 (−31.1%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 51%
Above the Steam cap 32%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

13 942.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

31 194.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 130.88 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

15 487.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 155.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 819.70 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 066.61 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 255.25 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

35 311.51 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

9 148.90 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

27 948.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 736.84 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

28 770.19 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

15 370.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

29 995.58 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

9 143.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

28 989.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 646.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

13 361.71 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 234.86 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

5 169.63 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

13 659.03 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 000.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

20 124.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 552.05 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

75 317.20 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

47 227.42 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

51 246.90 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 448.76 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

80 356.48 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

36 877.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

50 400.87 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

40 413.58 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

53 779.62 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 746.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

27 212.49 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 6 044.32 → 13 357.96 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 8 270.38 → 18 277.54 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 454.87 → 13 942.51 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 199.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10 664.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2711372 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 533.50₴ · invest 20 769.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2711642 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −10 923.48₴ · invest 21 159.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.007813
Craft 2711660 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 923.48₴ · invest 21 159.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.007813
Craft 2713159 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 942.71₴ · invest 22 650.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.007813
Craft 2713166 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit −10 942.71₴ · invest 22 650.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.007813
Craft 2712928 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −11 434.27₴ · invest 20 158.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.007813
Craft 2712939 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −11 434.27₴ · invest 20 158.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.078929; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.007813

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build