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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −278.36₴

Invest at least 932.95₴

Average return 654.58₴

ROI −29.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 932.95 ₴, profit at most −278.36 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

190.16 ₴

at 31.69

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

138.71 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 396.34 ₴ +258.25 (+65.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

221.85 ₴

at 31.69

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

69.35 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 358.67 ₴ +218.24 (+60.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

158.46 ₴

at 31.69

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

208.06 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 434.00 ₴ +298.25 (+68.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

126.77 ₴

at 31.69

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

277.42 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 471.66 ₴ +338.25 (+71.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

515.17 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

525.70 ₴ 20.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

145.68 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

349.29 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 386.80 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 324.56 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

93.95 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +127.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +193.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2747775 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 301.44₴ · invest 376.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2747773 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 292.98₴ · invest 334.36₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2744427 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 286.98₴ · invest 445.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2751574 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 274.78₴ · invest 353.61₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2730732 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 264.95₴ · invest 362.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2724157 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 245.01₴ · invest 379.64₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2749347 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 244.42₴ · invest 414.50₴
rare inputs

P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161732 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074080 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2727707 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 241.14₴ · invest 329.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2748243 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 236.85₴ · invest 384.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2741677 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 232.21₴ · invest 354.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074510
Craft 2744428 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 229.87₴ · invest 410.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162967; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074510

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build