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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −315.65₸

Invest at least 815.71₸

Average return 500.00₸

ROI −38.7%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 815.71 ₸, profit at most −315.65 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

81.38 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

174.81 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

89.36 ₸

at 89.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 345.54 ₸ +154.46 (+44.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

54.25 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

145.67 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

268.07 ₸

at 89.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 467.99 ₸ +185.77 (+39.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −224 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

27.13 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

87.40 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

536.14 ₸

at 89.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 650.67 ₸ +233.67 (+35.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

54.25 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

116.54 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

357.43 ₸

at 89.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 528.22 ₸ +202.42 (+38.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −284 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

27.13 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

58.27 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

625.49 ₸

at 89.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 710.89 ₸ +250.33 (+35.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 22%
About break-even 22%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

582.80 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

380.70 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

371.26 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

611.77 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

897.36 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

1 258.58 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 251.54 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

1 074.83 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.05 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +111.65 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build