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The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −4 768.60₸

Invest at least 10 551.15₸

Average return 5 782.55₸

ROI −45.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10 551.15 ₸, profit at most −4 768.60 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 356.24 ₸

at 1 356.24

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

2 897.98 ₸

at 322.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 254.22 ₸ +1 528.33 (+35.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

2 293.21 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

×1

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 356.24 ₸

at 1 356.24

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

2 253.98 ₸

at 322.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 903.43 ₸ +559.96 (+9.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 146.60 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

×1

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1 356.24 ₸

at 1 356.24

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

2 575.98 ₸

at 322.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 078.82 ₸ +1 044.17 (+20.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 308.88 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 769.09 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 697.54 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.044999

11 053.16 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 484.57 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

9 981.54 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +759.01 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 342.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2742328 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 485.07₸ · invest 4 096.77₸
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165501 instead of 0.165367
Craft 2742061 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 458.51₸ · invest 3 711.79₸
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build