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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −6.22$

Invest at least 45.76$

Average return 39.55$

ROI −13.6%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 45.76 $, profit at most −6.22 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

1.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

1.72 $

at 1.72

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

15.41 $

at 1.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.12 $ +21.43 (+118.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

7.52 $

at 1.50

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

12.75 $

at 3.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

1.93 $

at 1.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.20 $ +1.49 (+6.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

12.20 $

at 2.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

3.19 $

at 3.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

5.78 $

at 1.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.17 $ +6.48 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

7.52 $

at 1.50

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

9.57 $

at 3.19

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

3.85 $

at 1.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.94 $ +4.73 (+22.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 97%
Losing outcome 3%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

28.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

26.45 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

30.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

18.42 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.38 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2730956 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 23.53$ · invest 21.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724
Craft 2737538 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 22.50$ · invest 19.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724
Craft 2726154 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 21.41$ · invest 19.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724
Craft 2736882 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 21.28$ · invest 17.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162724

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build