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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −70.64₴

Invest at least 160.82₴

Average return 90.18₴

ROI −43.9%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 160.82 ₴, profit at most −70.64 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

38.16 ₴

at 4.77

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10.37 ₴

at 10.37

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

18.32 ₴

at 18.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.86 ₴ +23.32 (+34.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

112.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

87.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

123.16 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

85.41 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

84.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

266.08 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

112.71 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

81.68 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

138.33 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.43 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2734453 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 22.36₴ · invest 74.89₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.166225; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2734277 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 22.25₴ · invest 65.96₴
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164743 instead of 0.166225; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075128 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2734699 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 21.27₴ · invest 68.18₴
P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165509 instead of 0.166225; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075394 instead of 0.075643

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build