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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float +2.42$

Invest 59.23$

Average return 61.65$

ROI +4.1%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 59.23 $, profit +2.42 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 29 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

any lot

52.81 $

at 5.87

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Field-Tested

any lot

3.77 $

at 3.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.58 $ +5.06 (+8.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.976000

74.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780800

75.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.683200

34.85 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780800

37.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2731649 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5.28$ · invest 56.26$
rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested)
Craft 2734161 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5.23$ · invest 56.99$
P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2735656 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5.13$ · invest 56.16$
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2735944 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5.06$ · invest 56.28$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2735990 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5.03$ · invest 56.09$
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested)
Craft 2736027 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4.94$ · invest 61.84$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2736340 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.92$ · invest 62.29$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.485059 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2736153 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.86$ · invest 56.31$
rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2736195 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.84$ · invest 63.91$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build