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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −5.18$

Invest at least 23.74$

Average return 18.56$

ROI −21.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 23.74 $, profit at most −5.18 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

8.33 $

at 1.04

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.98 $

at 0.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.31 $ +9.25 (+99.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

5.20 $

at 1.04

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.73 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.43 $ +5.37 (+56.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

4.16 $

at 1.04

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.40 $

at 0.85

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.87 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.43 $ +4.11 (+43.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

2.08 $

at 1.04

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.85 $

at 0.85

Steam

×7

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

6.53 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.47 $ +1.56 (+16.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.65 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

24.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.05 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

11.35 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.051099

11.75 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

6.29 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2737509 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 10.69$ · invest 11.00$
sells slowly

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested), MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161991 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2737266 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 10.46$ · invest 9.78$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)
Craft 2733142 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 10.44$ · invest 9.50$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161715 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2737485 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.44$ · invest 9.27$
sells slowly

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162129 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2736854 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 9.94$ · invest 9.31$
sells slowly

P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162994 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2737333 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 9.71$ · invest 9.35$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)
Craft 2731690 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 9.66$ · invest 9.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested), Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162637 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2735207 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 9.32$ · invest 9.48$
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested), PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162927 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2737128 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 9.25$ · invest 9.04$
sells slowly

MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161991 instead of 0.163747

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build