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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −317.46₴

Invest at least 2 142.09₴

Average return 1 824.63₴

ROI −14.8%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 2 142.09 ₴, profit at most −317.46 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

692.47 ₴

at 86.56

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

76.85 ₴

at 76.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

84.53 ₴

at 84.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 853.85 ₴ +970.78 (+113.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

173.12 ₴

at 86.56

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

378.61 ₴

at 94.65

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

618.53 ₴

at 154.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 170.26 ₴ +528.43 (+45.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

259.68 ₴

at 86.56

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

378.61 ₴

at 94.65

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

463.90 ₴

at 154.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 102.19 ₴ +617.49 (+56.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

86.56 ₴

at 86.56

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

473.26 ₴

at 94.65

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

618.53 ₴

at 154.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 178.36 ₴ +499.34 (+42.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

1 731.92 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.019104

1 291.25 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

3 416.63 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

1 932.94 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.041790

1 824.53 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 958.18 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +656.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +896.22 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2737516 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 927.45₴ · invest 826.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.161611; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074076 instead of 0.074038
Craft 2737375 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 836.43₴ · invest 709.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161991 instead of 0.161611
Craft 2731695 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 830.65₴ · invest 741.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162637 instead of 0.161611

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build