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The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −9.93$

Invest at least 27.76$

Average return 17.83$

ROI −35.8%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 27.76 $, profit at most −9.93 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

8.56 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.72 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.15 $ +6.68 (+59.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.35 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1.35 $

at 1.35

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

6.89 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.60 $ +7.68 (+56.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.21 $

at 1.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2.71 $

at 1.35

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

8.61 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.53 $ +7.90 (+54.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 22%
About break-even 22%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

20.89 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

31.83 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122222

12.54 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.016888

11.45 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77.77 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.017777

19.38 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.013333

17.00 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.022222

15.48 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2746454 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.77$ · invest 10.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164100 instead of 0.162676; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074904 instead of 0.074409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build