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The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −28.75$

Invest at least 84.90$

Average return 56.15$

ROI −33.9%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 84.90 $, profit at most −28.75 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

15.04 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.51 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.55 $

at 4.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.10 $ +20.04 (+55.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

11.01 $

at 5.50

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

36.39 $

at 5.20

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

10.12 $

at 10.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.52 $ +0.74 (+1.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

10.03 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.51 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.55 $

at 4.55

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

10.40 $

at 5.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.49 $ +15.26 (+36.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

7.52 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.51 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.55 $

at 4.55

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

15.60 $

at 5.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.18 $ +12.87 (+29.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

5.01 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

16.51 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.55 $

at 4.55

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

20.79 $

at 5.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.87 $ +10.48 (+22.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116.89 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.95 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Colony IV

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

62.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167058

20.29 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Decimator

Factory New

float up to 0.044117

120.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.25 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2744787 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.53$ · invest 38.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076724 instead of 0.075850; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005884 instead of 0.005119
Craft 2720237 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.84$ · invest 33.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2750850 · The Shadow Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 20.72$ · invest 37.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078744 instead of 0.075850; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007651 instead of 0.005119
Craft 2747647 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.20$ · invest 35.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076475 instead of 0.075850; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005665 instead of 0.005119

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build