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The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −20.88$

Invest at least 71.09$

Average return 50.21$

ROI −29.4%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 71.09 $, profit at most −20.88 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.93 $

at 1.93

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

15.04 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

12.90 $

at 4.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.88 $ +20.33 (+68.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.93 $

at 1.93

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

12.54 $

at 2.51

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.12 $

at 3.12

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

12.90 $

at 4.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.49 $ +17.84 (+58.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.93 $

at 1.93

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.03 $

at 2.51

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.25 $

at 3.12

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

12.90 $

at 4.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.11 $ +15.34 (+49.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 23%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116.89 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.95 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.032613

36.29 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

48.94 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.88 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2726614 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.91$ · invest 25.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2750783 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 22.99$ · invest 24.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074467 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074467 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2750818 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 21.47$ · invest 24.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074114 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074114 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2749206 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.43$ · invest 34.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2740012 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.23$ · invest 25.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2727572 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.06$ · invest 24.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2733838 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.05$ · invest 23.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074822
Craft 2738344 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.74$ · invest 20.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074822; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074822

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build