The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit · by float −64.92$ by average prices it would be −107.87

Invest 376.48$

Average return 311.55$

ROI −17.2% market check 17.10 15:33 MSK

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest 378.42 $, profit −110.56 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −187.40 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (by listings)

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

any lot

179.47 $

at 44.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

any lot

196.26 $

at 196.26

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 375.73 $ −107.87 (−28.7%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 74%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044608

310.20 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149402

336.14 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

172.52 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

138.42 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

221.68 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

80.35 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

78.60 $ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

206.40 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

75.01 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

80.92 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

84.01 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

139.17 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044608

1 910.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149402

1 797.23 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

699.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

904.44 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557608

1 140.15 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

602.15 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

564.24 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

586.00 $ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

687.98 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

426.55 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

687.98 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472630

650.08 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 030.69 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 179.47 → 182.17 $

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 196.26 → 196.26 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.557608696

outcomes come out up to 0.044608, 0.149402, 0.557608, 0.557608, 0.557608, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.000000, 0.044608, 0.149402, 0.557608, 0.557608, 0.557608, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.472630, 0.000000

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The CS20 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −138.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −114.43 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2755538 · The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −107.87$ · invest 375.73$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2756157 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −112.28$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756168 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −112.28$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756473 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −113.35$ · invest 315.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.249512 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756484 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −113.35$ · invest 315.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.249512 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756158 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −116.54$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351032 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756169 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −116.54$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351032 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2755531 · The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −116.92$ · invest 379.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear
Craft 2755539 · The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −116.92$ · invest 379.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear
Craft 2756474 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −117.62$ · invest 315.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.294184 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756485 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −117.62$ · invest 315.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.294184 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756159 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −117.82$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2756170 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −117.82$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build