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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −424.80₽

Invest at least 991.74₽

Average return 566.94₽

ROI −42.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 991.74 ₽, profit at most −424.80 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

59.60 ₽

at 59.60

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

328.14 ₽

at 36.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 387.74 ₽ +179.20 (+46.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

727.67 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

602.71 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

656.78 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

371.12 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.037499

973.85 ₽ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

330.00 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +122.98 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +170.21 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2769023 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 171.76₽ · invest 377.44₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2769162 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 165.25₽ · invest 370.42₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2768687 · The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 162.67₽ · invest 375.67₽
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.161714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build