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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −1 610.96₸

Invest at least 13 185.09₸

Average return 11 574.13₸

ROI −12.2%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 13 185.09 ₸, profit at most −1 610.96 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 737.37 ₸

at 1 737.37

souvenirSteam

×9

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

3 586.45 ₸

at 398.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 323.82 ₸ +6 250.31 (+117.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 454.25 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

17 904.09 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

930.02 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 953.14 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 788.80 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

17 866.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

31 291.33 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.003936

15 186.73 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 only The Gamma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 896.99 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 841.35 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2787844 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 6 434.39₸ · invest 5 347.91₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004753 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2767303 · The Ancient Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 374.19₸ · invest 5 406.56₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004348 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787761 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 243.53₸ · invest 4 629.15₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004432 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2762369 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 159.56₸ · invest 4 477.19₸
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004835 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787354 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 6 053.71₸ · invest 4 635.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004909 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787637 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 6 031.64₸ · invest 4 740.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004787 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787224 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 966.33₸ · invest 5 292.30₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004787 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2761663 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 5 891.86₸ · invest 4 280.03₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004909 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787281 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 5 846.72₸ · invest 4 290.50₸
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004245 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787733 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 5 827.41₸ · invest 4 576.85₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.005065 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787785 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 5 826.54₸ · invest 4 577.34₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004835 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2787396 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 5 825.49₸ · invest 4 834.72₸
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004990 instead of 0.004875
Craft 2768843 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 5 823.85₸ · invest 4 503.66₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.005065 instead of 0.004875

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build