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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −45.27₴

Invest at least 134.88₴

Average return 89.61₴

ROI −33.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 134.88 ₴, profit at most −45.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

23.40 ₴

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

5.95 ₴

at 5.95

souvenirSteam

×1

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

28.43 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.79 ₴ +31.83 (+55.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −195 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

5.95 ₴

at 5.95

souvenirSteam

×8

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

227.42 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Death Rattle

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0848

37.74 ₴

at 37.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 271.11 ₴ +2.03 (+0.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −139 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.64 ₴

at 2.64

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11.91 ₴

at 5.95

souvenirSteam

×7

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

199.00 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.54 ₴ +13.72 (+6.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −115 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

5.27 ₴

at 2.64

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

11.91 ₴

at 5.95

souvenirSteam

×6

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

170.57 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.74 ₴ +16.58 (+8.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 22%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

65.86 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70.73 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109.12 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

61.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Vault Heist

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484.02 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rust Coat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

248.62 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.09 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Houndstooth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274.28 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Havoc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Havoc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build