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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit · with float +0.11$

Invest 0.88$

Average return 1.00$

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest 0.88 $, profit +0.11 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 39 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

0.20 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0426

0.40 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

0.18 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.77 $ +0.23 (+29.8%)

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 27 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1195

0.20 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0433

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×6

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1195

0.26 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.59 $ +0.16 (+27.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 7%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1.47 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.57 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.43 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

1.36 $ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.90 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

0.41 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

0.12 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

0.11 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.20 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

0.10 $ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 3 61% of the wear range fits ×1.14 0.20 → 0.22 $

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) × 3 61% of the wear range fits ×1.14 0.40 → 0.45 $

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) × 4 61% of the wear range fits ×1.20 0.18 → 0.21 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.058333, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.054833, 0.146333, 0.034999, 0.009333, 0.009333, 0.052499, 0.013999

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Havoc Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.03 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build