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The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · with float −91.31$

Invest 174.50$

Average return 83.19$

ROI −52.3%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest 174.50 $, profit −91.31 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6318

14.01 $

at 14.01

Steam

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0964

55.99 $

at 6.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.00 $ +13.19 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3875

33.50 $

at 16.75

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

22.46 $

at 22.46

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

43.55 $

at 6.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.51 $ +7.74 (+7.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5075

14.01 $

at 14.01

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

67.38 $

at 22.46

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

37.33 $

at 6.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.72 $ +0.55 (+0.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4980

14.01 $

at 14.01

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3861

16.75 $

at 16.75

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

49.77 $

at 6.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.53 $ +14.69 (+18.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

83.18 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

250.38 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Sovereign Flame

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

189.93 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2768789 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13.03$ · invest 78.45$
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) instead of Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.096456

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build