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The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −3.94$

Invest at least 12.12$

Average return 8.18$

ROI −32.5%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 12.12 $, profit at most −3.94 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1.74 $

at 0.87

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.82 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.06 $ +3.12 (+61.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2.30 $

at 0.46

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

3.48 $

at 0.87

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.18 $ +2.52 (+40.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3.22 $

at 0.40

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

0.93 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.02 $ +2.99 (+59.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.38 $

at 0.46

Steam

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

2.61 $

at 0.87

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.61 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.60 $ +2.84 (+50.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.14 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.38 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

3.00 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.90 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

14.87 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

5.35 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2797808 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.52$ · invest 4.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074452 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2788301 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.27$ · invest 4.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2795115 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.16$ · invest 4.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2797835 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.99$ · invest 4.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2796253 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.93$ · invest 4.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2776097 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.80$ · invest 3.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074078 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2774224 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 4.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2771780 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 3.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074173 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2797866 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.71$ · invest 4.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.074360
Craft 2790586 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.71$ · invest 5.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074360

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build