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The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −229.02₴

Invest at least 913.53₴

Average return 684.51₴

ROI −25.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 913.53 ₴, profit at most −229.02 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

41.36 ₴

at 20.68

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

156.46 ₴

at 39.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

137.11 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 402.39 ₴ +282.12 (+70.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

113.69 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

156.46 ₴

at 39.11

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.88 ₴ +163.61 (+53.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

39.11 ₴

at 39.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 586.46 ₴ +459.76 (+78.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

195.57 ₴

at 39.11

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

101.21 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

137.11 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 433.88 ₴ +322.97 (+74.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

20.68 ₴

at 20.68

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

78.23 ₴

at 39.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

342.76 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 509.14 ₴ +392.39 (+77.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.065624

668.38 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

240.46 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

338.95 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 470.40 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 242.06 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

93.95 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 41.36 → 91.40 ₴

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 156.46 → 370.02 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 67.47 → 149.11 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 137.11 → 303.00 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.065624, 0.052499, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +159.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +229.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2794767 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 306.31₴ · invest 376.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2784303 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 305.96₴ · invest 433.31₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2761984 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 298.33₴ · invest 433.39₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162942 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074501 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2794765 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 295.49₴ · invest 335.33₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2791281 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 289.44₴ · invest 443.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2798621 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 275.83₴ · invest 352.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2777518 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 264.26₴ · invest 360.31₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164479 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075036 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2784302 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 251.16₴ · invest 391.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161565 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074022 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2788462 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 241.96₴ · invest 343.57₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2774369 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 239.63₴ · invest 327.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.075235
Craft 2795263 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 237.45₴ · invest 384.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.165050; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.075235

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build