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The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.71₽

Invest 164.36₽

Average return 170.07₽

ROI +3.5%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 404.07 ₽, profit at most −234.00 ₽

float premium: unknown

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Urban Hazard

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

32.00 ₽

at 32.00

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4723

114.08 ₽

at 14.26

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

18.28 ₽

at 18.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 164.36 ₽ +5.71 (+3.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

293.26 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

97.21 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.321428

179.72 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.642857

190.22 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Field-Tested

float up to 0.192857

208.97 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Supernova

Field-Tested

float up to 0.257142

216.05 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −19.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3.01 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2761721 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 5.63₽ · invest 175.11₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn) instead of MP7 | Urban Hazard (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.469070 instead of 0.472300; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167544 instead of 0.170516

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build