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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −189.19₴

Invest at least 697.21₴

Average return 508.02₴

ROI −27.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 697.21 ₴, profit at most −189.19 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4794

52.27 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

178.35 ₴

at 44.59

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

67.72 ₴

at 67.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 298.35 ₴ +209.67 (+70.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −343 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

89.18 ₴

at 44.59

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

260.51 ₴

at 37.22

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

67.72 ₴

at 67.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 417.41 ₴ +239.82 (+57.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −403 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

44.59 ₴

at 44.59

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

260.51 ₴

at 37.22

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

135.45 ₴

at 67.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 440.55 ₴ +238.01 (+54.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −232 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4813

10.45 ₴

at 10.45

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

133.77 ₴

at 44.59

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

186.08 ₴

at 37.22

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

50.10 ₴

at 50.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 380.40 ₴ +234.21 (+61.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

679.80 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

930.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

241.85 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

660.95 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 409.56 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

676.70 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

464.75 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

668.38 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +117.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +201.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2777519 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 227.32₴ · invest 319.01₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479427 instead of 0.479495; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003745 instead of 0.003753

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build