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The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −219.10₽

Invest at least 377.08₽

Average return 157.98₽

ROI −58.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 377.08 ₽, profit at most −219.10 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4903

18.31 ₽

at 18.31

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4683

128.34 ₽

at 14.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.65 ₽ +11.33 (+7.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

293.26 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

97.21 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Well-Worn

float up to 0.417857

50.48 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Field-Tested

float up to 0.321428

57.30 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.578571

45.14 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.257142

88.67 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

float up to 0.321428

56.71 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.83 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2761719 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 11.54₽ · invest 171.09₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.470008 instead of 0.468318
Craft 2790703 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection · profit 11.16₽ · invest 144.39₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.467671 instead of 0.468318
Craft 2768199 · The Anubis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 10.97₽ · invest 196.33₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Battle-Scarred) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.462808 instead of 0.468318
Craft 2775690 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 10.88₽ · invest 154.28₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493269 instead of 0.468318
Craft 2761720 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 10.59₽ · invest 171.09₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.462759 instead of 0.468318
Craft 2787258 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 10.40₽ · invest 152.10₽
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Well-Worn) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.470008 instead of 0.468318

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build