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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −129.97₽

Invest at least 264.52₽

Average return 134.55₽

ROI −49.1%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 264.52 ₽, profit at most −129.97 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

30.74 ₽

at 30.74

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

75.33 ₽

at 8.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.07 ₽ +28.48 (+26.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107009

166.35 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

147.22 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

74.01 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178452

70.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131415

159.69 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112641

271.67 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

149.00 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097622

1 188.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093867

384.38 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.235745

187.24 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2785022 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 31.54₽ · invest 108.87₽
outcome without sales rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162601 instead of 0.165837
Craft 2775473 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 29.47₽ · invest 125.01₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163424 instead of 0.165837

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build