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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −238.93₴

Invest at least 424.74₴

Average return 185.81₴

ROI −56.2%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 424.74 ₴, profit at most −238.93 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

21.25 ₴

at 21.25

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

144.04 ₴

at 16.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.30 ₴ +20.52 (+12.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098999

150.31 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

353.79 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

157.77 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

253.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

129.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

146.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

188.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

639.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

206.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

100.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2787906 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 19.15₴ · invest 166.79₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build