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The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −4.83$

Invest at least 14.98$

Average return 10.15$

ROI −32.2%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 14.98 $, profit at most −4.83 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

4.22 $

at 0.70

Steam

×4

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1.86 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.08 $ +4.08 (+67.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

1.26 $

at 0.63

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

4.92 $

at 0.70

Steam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3884

0.31 $

at 0.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.50 $ +1.07 (+16.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.30 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.90 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.68 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.49 $ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.51 $ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.21 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.27 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.08 $ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2798307 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.89$ · invest 4.57$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2794710 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.67$ · invest 5.54$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2770612 · The Ascent Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.33$ · invest 7.08$
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2797407 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.25$ · invest 5.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2777485 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.17$ · invest 5.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2771869 · The Boreal Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.14$ · invest 4.40$
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2796361 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.13$ · invest 6.20$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2788432 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3.81$ · invest 5.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2774338 · The CS20 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3.70$ · invest 5.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build