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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2 134.67₸

Invest at least 5 274.50₸

Average return 3 139.83₸

ROI −40.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 5 274.50 ₸, profit at most −2 134.67 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 220.39 ₸

at 203.40

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

765.74 ₸

at 382.87

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

104.66 ₸

at 104.66

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

135.63 ₸

at 135.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 226.41 ₸ +913.42 (+41.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 400.62 ₸

at 200.09

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

765.74 ₸

at 382.87

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

104.66 ₸

at 104.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 271.01 ₸ +977.82 (+43.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

200.09 ₸

at 200.09

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 531.48 ₸

at 382.87

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

209.31 ₸

at 104.66

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

406.90 ₸

at 135.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 347.78 ₸ +465.06 (+19.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

203.40 ₸

at 203.40

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

765.74 ₸

at 382.87

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

406.90 ₸

at 135.63

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 122.40 ₸

at 280.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 498.44 ₸ +96.41 (+3.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 87%
Losing outcome 7%
About break-even 7%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 045.33 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 677.60 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 082.87 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

2 489.71 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153999

1 251.69 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 1 220.39 → 3 063.17 ₸

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 765.74 → 1 692.28 ₸

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 104.66 → 226.06 ₸

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 135.63 → 292.97 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.099999, 0.153999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +539.93 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +731.56 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2790512 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1 065.38₸ · invest 2 142.59₸
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074409 instead of 0.074333
Craft 2770244 · The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1 006.59₸ · invest 2 220.45₸
P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074398 instead of 0.074333
Craft 2766430 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 934.76₸ · invest 2 060.99₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074333
Craft 2768907 · The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 929.48₸ · invest 2 381.74₸
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075891 instead of 0.074333; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.005155 instead of 0.003791
Craft 2790325 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 869.47₸ · invest 2 448.80₸
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074333
Craft 2790438 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 848.42₸ · invest 2 113.08₸
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074303 instead of 0.074333

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build