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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −416.63₽

Invest at least 1 473.84₽

Average return 1 057.20₽

ROI −28.3%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 1 473.84 ₽, profit at most −416.63 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

187.45 ₽

at 37.49

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

141.14 ₽

at 70.57

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

62.73 ₽

at 62.73

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

254.94 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 646.26 ₽ +410.94 (+63.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

258.16 ₽

at 36.88

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

141.14 ₽

at 70.57

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

127.47 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 526.77 ₽ +238.23 (+45.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

70.57 ₽

at 70.57

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

125.46 ₽

at 62.73

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

892.29 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 088.32 ₽ +845.47 (+77.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

184.40 ₽

at 36.88

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

211.71 ₽

at 70.57

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

62.73 ₽

at 62.73

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

127.47 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 586.31 ₽ +324.79 (+55.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

149.96 ₽

at 37.49

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

70.57 ₽

at 70.57

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

62.73 ₽

at 62.73

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

509.88 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 793.14 ₽ +556.26 (+70.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 35%

about break-even

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

745.63 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

677.85 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

630.26 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 453.00 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 309.54 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

174.70 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 187.45 → 463.00 ₽

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 141.14 → 311.92 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 62.73 → 135.50 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 254.94 → 563.42 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.061249, 0.061249, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +229.40 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +326.54 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build