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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −290.36₴

Invest at least 869.38₴

Average return 579.02₴

ROI −33.4%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 869.38 ₴, profit at most −290.36 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

59.50 ₴

at 19.83

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

151.81 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

137.11 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 382.15 ₴ +196.87 (+51.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

79.34 ₴

at 19.83

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

75.90 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

274.21 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 429.45 ₴ +231.62 (+53.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

37.95 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

548.42 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 620.11 ₴ +451.26 (+72.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

99.17 ₴

at 19.83

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

113.86 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

137.11 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 350.13 ₴ +146.83 (+41.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 85%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

401.00 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

364.55 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

338.95 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 470.40 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 242.06 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254.35 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 59.50 → 134.47 ₴

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 151.81 → 359.03 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 33.74 → 72.87 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 137.11 → 303.00 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.048999, 0.036099, 0.055999, 0.047599, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +98.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +151.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2798490 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 238.98₴ · invest 275.10₴
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2798334 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 227.36₴ · invest 291.70₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2791282 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 226.67₴ · invest 408.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2797937 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 225.38₴ · invest 405.59₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2788463 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 224.70₴ · invest 308.75₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161638 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074048 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2795265 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 221.94₴ · invest 363.53₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2796418 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.78₴ · invest 351.37₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162917 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074493 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2771920 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.30₴ · invest 258.28₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2777517 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.30₴ · invest 296.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162255 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074262 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2798768 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 196.23₴ · invest 355.17₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161538 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2774368 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 192.19₴ · invest 315.42₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161878 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074131 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2795657 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 189.55₴ · invest 272.42₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161771 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074094 instead of 0.074419

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build