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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −316.15₴

Invest at least 947.12₴

Average return 630.97₴

ROI −33.4%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 947.12 ₴, profit at most −316.15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

72.37 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

25.28 ₴

at 25.28

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

274.21 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 405.59 ₴ +225.38 (+55.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

41.60 ₴

at 41.60

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 588.95 ₴ +432.09 (+73.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

90.46 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

41.60 ₴

at 41.60

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

205.66 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 371.46 ₴ +162.00 (+43.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

72.37 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

342.76 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 448.87 ₴ +279.62 (+62.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

281.28 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

107.03 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.054249

134.93 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

136.33 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

338.95 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 470.40 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 242.06 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

93.95 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 72.37 → 171.15 ₴

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 25.28 → 54.60 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 33.74 → 72.87 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 274.21 → 648.51 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.078749, 0.087499, 0.054249, 0.078749, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +94.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +166.68 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2798490 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 238.98₴ · invest 275.10₴
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2798334 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 227.36₴ · invest 291.70₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2791282 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 226.67₴ · invest 408.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2788463 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 224.70₴ · invest 308.75₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161638 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074048 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2795265 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 221.94₴ · invest 363.53₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2796418 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.78₴ · invest 351.37₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162917 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074493 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2771920 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.30₴ · invest 258.28₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2777517 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 214.30₴ · invest 296.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162255 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074262 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2790705 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 196.87₴ · invest 382.15₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162705 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2798768 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 196.23₴ · invest 355.17₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161538 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2774368 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 192.19₴ · invest 315.42₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161878 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074131 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2795657 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 189.55₴ · invest 272.42₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161771 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074094 instead of 0.074069

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build