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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −26.01$

Invest at least 81.61$

Average return 55.60$

ROI −31.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 81.61 $, profit at most −26.01 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

17.55 $

at 2.51

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

10.81 $

at 5.41

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

6.00 $

at 6.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.36 $ +21.24 (+61.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

5.01 $

at 2.51

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

9.62 $

at 3.21

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

30.01 $

at 6.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.65 $ +2.60 (+5.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1.51 $

at 1.51

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

12.54 $

at 2.51

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

24.01 $

at 6.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.05 $ +13.97 (+36.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

60.74 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044705

64.58 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

29.47 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2789676 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.66$ · invest 34.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2796264 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.28$ · invest 34.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2791648 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.58$ · invest 38.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2778179 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.34$ · invest 33.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2797265 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.15$ · invest 32.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2798047 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21.03$ · invest 32.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077582 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006634 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2771788 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.95$ · invest 32.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2797991 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 20.62$ · invest 35.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007304

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build