The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −139 316.61₸

Invest at least 571 141.81₸

Average return 431 825.20₸

ROI −24.4%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 571 141.81 ₸, profit at most −139 316.61 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −94 776.01 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

105 491.90 ₸

at 105 491.90

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

145 149.82 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 250 641.72 ₸ +181 183.48 (+72.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 314 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

210 983.80 ₸

at 105 491.90

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

108 862.37 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 319 846.17 ₸ +115 870.55 (+36.2%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 478 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

316 475.70 ₸

at 105 491.90

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

72 574.91 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 389 050.61 ₸ +50 557.57 (+13.0%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 37%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 280.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

475 702.28 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 826.74 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 343.78 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 926.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 349.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440 833.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173 666.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643 992.82 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

929 650.61 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 770.34 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 922.89 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 612.17 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 277.55 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 410.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 790.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563 121.63 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 630 243.87 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

935 564.12 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311 536.87 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 120.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 636.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 159.72 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 242.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

859 364.18 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

538 909.77 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

464 256.18 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

580 515.95 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

573 851.19 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

295 267.56 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408 581.18 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 316.78 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 466.77 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 653.14 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

746 091.74 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +157 411.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +177 547.33 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2799685 · The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 181 183.50₸ · invest 250 641.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2799841 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 168 017.64₸ · invest 220 657.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2799842 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 168 017.64₸ · invest 220 657.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2800027 · The Spectrum Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 167 470.05₸ · invest 210 221.92₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2800028 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 167 470.05₸ · invest 210 221.92₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2800019 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 166 947.81₸ · invest 201 645.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2800020 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 166 947.81₸ · invest 201 645.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2799881 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 166 683.26₸ · invest 221 992.17₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2799882 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 166 683.26₸ · invest 221 992.17₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2800025 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 165 524.45₸ · invest 212 167.51₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2800026 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 165 524.45₸ · invest 212 167.51₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build