The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −546 054.73₸

Invest at least 1 640 830.45₸

Average return 1 094 775.72₸

ROI −33.3%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 1 640 830.45 ₸, profit at most −546 054.73 ₸

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 18.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −591 572.99 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

210 983.80 ₸

at 105 491.90

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

519 715.15 ₸

at 173 238.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 730 698.95 ₸ +364 076.76 (+49.8%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 16.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −37 553 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

421 967.60 ₸

at 105 491.90

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

173 238.38 ₸

at 173 238.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 595 205.99 ₸ +67 980.05 (+11.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 19%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

859 364.18 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

538 909.77 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

464 256.18 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

580 515.95 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

573 851.19 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

295 267.56 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408 581.18 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 316.78 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 466.77 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 653.14 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

746 091.74 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

625 199.62 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

398 060.22 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

523 105.63 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

297 943.14 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730 129.99 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

534 665.06 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

674 106.62 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

838 957.09 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

764 441.47 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

468 853.06 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 919 606.41 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 287 266.43 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 217 772.92 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 247 098.38 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 704 656.63 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 538.27 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 497.30 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

703 279.61 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181 391.59 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +340 327.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +361 806.78 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2800173 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 464 681.94₸ · invest 725 239.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2800174 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 464 681.94₸ · invest 725 239.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2799707 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 364 076.76₸ · invest 730 698.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2800547 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 363 121.30₸ · invest 701 474.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2800548 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 363 121.30₸ · invest 701 474.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2799549 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 349 736.21₸ · invest 670 257.48₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2799550 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 349 736.21₸ · invest 670 257.48₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2800511 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 349 668.63₸ · invest 664 461.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.006756
Craft 2800512 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 349 668.63₸ · invest 664 461.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.006756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build