The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −121 608.49₸

Invest at least 448 669.60₸

Average return 327 061.11₸

ROI −27.1%

Chance of profit 19%

With float: invest at least 448 669.60 ₸, profit at most −121 608.49 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 272 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −29 857.40 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

48 828.39 ₸

at 48 828.39

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

145 116.40 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 193 944.79 ₸ +133 116.32 (+68.6%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −97 272 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

146 485.17 ₸

at 48 828.39

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

72 558.20 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 219 043.37 ₸ +18 256.25 (+8.3%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 272 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

97 656.78 ₸

at 48 828.39

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

108 837.30 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 206 494.08 ₸ +75 686.26 (+36.6%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 61%
Losing outcome 36%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 802.17 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

443 880.56 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 622.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 123.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434 998.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507 045.91 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 805.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

480 146.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 401.87 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 040.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 998.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 962.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

379 776.79 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

682 344.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438 214.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 501.76 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

447 549.59 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302 024.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 220 129.29 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 928.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611 038.56 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 718.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 622.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

657 560.94 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

356 738.55 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

762 067.81 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

725 597.95 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

564 582.47 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

338 508.24 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

104 304.28 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

51 541.14 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

82 049.31 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

85 957.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

55 676.31 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

40 262.80 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

50 962.30 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

27 971.70 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

58 958.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

51 249.96 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

33 111.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

24 291.99 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

99 891.55 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

32 233.61 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

98 869.41 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

81 720.10 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

46 621.45 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

33 028.70 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

106 995.33 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

38 628.89 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

74 999.30 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

123 803.92 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

67 119.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

34 466.91 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 48 828.39 → 105 469.32 ₸

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 145 116.40 → 343 200.29 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +119 037.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +131 467.39 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2799649 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 144 205.22₸ · invest 205 435.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 917 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2799651 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 144 205.22₸ · invest 205 435.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 917 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800919 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 141 229.18₸ · invest 208 411.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 893 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800920 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 141 229.18₸ · invest 208 411.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 893 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800907 · The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 140 461.06₸ · invest 185 894.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 349 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800909 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 140 461.06₸ · invest 185 894.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 349 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800717 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 135 945.68₸ · invest 235 996.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −43 873 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800719 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 135 945.68₸ · invest 235 996.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −43 873 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800859 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 133 754.34₸ · invest 187 972.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 501 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800861 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 133 754.34₸ · invest 187 972.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 501 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800293 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 133 116.31₸ · invest 193 944.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 272 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2799941 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 133 006.85₸ · invest 210 875.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −40 776 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2799942 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 133 006.85₸ · invest 210 875.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −40 776 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800689 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 132 507.30₸ · invest 179 920.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 080 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 2800691 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 132 507.30₸ · invest 179 920.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 080 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build