The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −1 478.32$

Invest at least 4 196.41$

Average return 2 718.09$

ROI −35.2%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 4 196.41 $, profit at most −1 478.32 $

The gain is understated: 8 outcomes have no price, that is 21.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −1 467.63 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

1 528.04 $

at 382.01

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

269.71 $

at 269.71

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 797.76 $ +920.33 (+51.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 59%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 21%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 378.64 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

877.77 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 153.51 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

657.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 610.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 179.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 486.49 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 850.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 685.68 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 033.88 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 232.96 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 300.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 300.69 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 750.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 399.92 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 196.36 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

570.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 550.82 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

152.15 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

129.23 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

230.24 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

288.71 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

323.32 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229.93 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.23 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165.16 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers

no wear

80.01 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +866.71 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +915.77 $ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2800551 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 955.39$ · invest 1 802.33$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)
Craft 2800552 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 955.39$ · invest 1 802.33$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)
Craft 2800567 · The Shadow Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 920.33$ · invest 1 797.76$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build