The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −105 949.42₸

Invest at least 418 377.25₸

Average return 312 427.88₸

ROI −25.3%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 418 377.25 ₸, profit at most −105 949.42 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 080 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −21 191.49 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

145 116.40 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

×1

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

34 804.16 ₸

at 34 804.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 179 920.56 ₸ +132 507.32 (+73.7%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 697 ₸

2% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

72 558.20 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

×3

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

104 412.47 ₸

at 34 804.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 176 970.67 ₸ +16 429.20 (+9.3%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 889 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

108 837.30 ₸

at 36 279.10

Steam

×2

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

69 608.31 ₸

at 34 804.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 178 445.61 ₸ +74 468.26 (+41.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 38%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 802.17 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

443 880.56 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 622.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 123.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434 998.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507 045.91 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 805.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

480 146.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 401.87 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 040.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 998.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 962.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

379 776.79 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

682 344.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438 214.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 501.76 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

447 549.59 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302 024.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 220 129.29 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 928.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611 038.56 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 718.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 622.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

84 087.30 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

62 543.05 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

70 705.11 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 214.73 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

102 228.75 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 891.58 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 200.32 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

303 224.86 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 974.95 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 212.00 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 799.49 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88 439.60 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

45 338.08 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +119 214.10 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +131 057.93 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2799649 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 144 205.22₸ · invest 205 435.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 917 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2799651 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 144 205.22₸ · invest 205 435.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 917 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800919 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 141 229.18₸ · invest 208 411.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 893 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800920 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 141 229.18₸ · invest 208 411.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 893 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800907 · The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 140 461.06₸ · invest 185 894.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 349 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800909 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 140 461.06₸ · invest 185 894.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 349 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009285 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800717 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 135 945.68₸ · invest 235 996.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −43 873 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)
Craft 2800719 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 135 945.68₸ · invest 235 996.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −43 873 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)
Craft 2800859 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 133 754.34₸ · invest 187 972.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 501 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800861 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 133 754.34₸ · invest 187 972.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 501 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800293 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 133 116.31₸ · invest 193 944.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 272 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800296 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 133 116.31₸ · invest 193 944.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 272 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2799941 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 133 006.85₸ · invest 210 875.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −40 776 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2799942 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 133 006.85₸ · invest 210 875.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −40 776 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2800691 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 132 507.30₸ · invest 179 920.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 080 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build