The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −20 681.57₴

Invest at least 61 990.89₴

Average return 41 309.32₴

ROI −33.4%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 61 990.89 ₴, profit at most −20 681.57 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 688 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −9 736.59 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

17 984.11 ₴

at 4 496.03

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

9 008.55 ₴

at 9 008.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 26 992.66 ₴ +14 316.66 (+53.0%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 516 ₴

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

13 488.08 ₴

at 4 496.03

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

18 017.10 ₴

at 9 008.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 31 505.18 ₴ +8 694.08 (+27.6%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 343 ₴

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

8 992.06 ₴

at 4 496.03

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

27 025.65 ₴

at 9 008.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 36 017.70 ₴ +3 071.51 (+8.5%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 007.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 154.47 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 376.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 658.04 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 570.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 737.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 698.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 214.88 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 836.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 152.56 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 659.61 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 400.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 134.03 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 806.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 965.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 754.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 820.00 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260 725.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 738.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 881.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 114.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 051.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 351.16 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 260.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 073.76 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 000.11 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 956.84 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 385.54 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 119.70 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 261.44 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 327.82 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 595.00 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 349.39 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 908.09 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 562.90 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 072.40 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 645.76 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 638.06 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 438.41 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 592.28 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 363.81 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 938.49 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 946.55 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 103.78 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 569.82 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 607.76 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 050.17 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 032.38 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 969.67 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2799731 · The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 14 364.01₴ · invest 28 441.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −835 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799732 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 364.01₴ · invest 28 441.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −835 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800722 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 316.66₴ · invest 26 992.66₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 688 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2800299 · The Revolution Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 14 036.19₴ · invest 22 824.27₴
profit on prices without salesat least −845 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800300 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 036.19₴ · invest 22 824.27₴
profit on prices without salesat least −845 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799943 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 14 025.34₴ · invest 24 502.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 382 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799944 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 025.34₴ · invest 24 502.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 382 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799573 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 13 653.25₴ · invest 25 445.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 895 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799574 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 653.25₴ · invest 25 445.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 895 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800523 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 649.90₴ · invest 25 158.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 038 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800524 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 649.90₴ · invest 25 158.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 038 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800493 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 13 296.11₴ · invest 25 511.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 392 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2800494 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 296.11₴ · invest 25 511.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 392 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2799863 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 13 058.93₴ · invest 25 468.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 348 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2799864 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 058.93₴ · invest 25 468.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 348 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800937 · The Spectrum Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 004.65₴ · invest 24 434.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 788 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800938 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 13 004.65₴ · invest 24 434.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 788 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2800929 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 952.88₴ · invest 23 584.34₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 233 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2800930 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 12 952.88₴ · invest 23 584.34₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 233 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build