The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −894.50$

Invest at least 1 189.44$

Average return 294.94$

ROI −75.2%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 1 189.44 $, profit at most −894.50 $

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 33.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −308.91 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1753

196.24 $

at 196.24

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

65.69 $

at 65.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

275.97 $

at 91.99

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 537.89 $ −242.95 (−45.2%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 29.2% of the chance

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

196.24 $

at 196.24

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

236.00 $

at 236.00

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

275.97 $

at 91.99

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 708.20 $ −255.05 (−36.0%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 24.6% of the chance

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

196.24 $

at 196.24

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

491.09 $

at 245.55

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

183.98 $

at 91.99

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 871.31 $ −259.95 (−29.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 43%
Above the Steam cap 34%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

284.32 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

693.93 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

136.39 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

344.54 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

203.66 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

151.71 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

90.46 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

139.15 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 900.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

1 445.26 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 783.96 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

792.72 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

809.12 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 719.39 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 250.03 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

740.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

709.35 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 135.03 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 029.70 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 196.24 → 423.87 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 65.69 → 141.88 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 3 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 275.97 → 623.69 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −259.85 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −247.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2802650 · The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −242.95$ · invest 537.89$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2806488 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −247.51$ · invest 436.06$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080612 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009286 instead of 0.007723
Craft 2806506 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −247.51$ · invest 436.06$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080612 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009286 instead of 0.007723
Craft 2807026 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −248.51$ · invest 436.47$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075738 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005021 instead of 0.007723
Craft 2807034 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −248.51$ · invest 436.47$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075738 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005021 instead of 0.007723
Craft 2806668 · The Wildfire Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −253.74$ · invest 441.71$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083129 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.011488 instead of 0.007723
Craft 2806676 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −253.74$ · invest 441.71$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083129 instead of 0.078826; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.011488 instead of 0.007723

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build