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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8.31$

Invest at least 29.56$

Average return 21.25$

ROI −28.1%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 29.56 $, profit at most −8.31 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

2.97 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

6.12 $

at 2.04

Steam

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

3.83 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 12.92 $ +8.33 (+64.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

1.98 $

at 0.49

Steam

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

5.97 $

at 2.99

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

15.32 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 23.27 $ +3.40 (+14.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

2.47 $

at 0.49

Steam

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

2.99 $

at 2.99

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

15.32 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 20.78 $ +4.81 (+23.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

2.97 $

at 0.49

Steam

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

2.04 $

at 2.04

Steam

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11.49 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 16.50 $ +6.92 (+41.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

11.70 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51.70 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

6.16 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

39.40 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

36.66 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.036999

30.93 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.67 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2810065 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 7.91$ · invest 11.16$
rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.078492; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.007430
Craft 2809718 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 7.85$ · invest 10.64$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077236 instead of 0.078492; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.006331 instead of 0.007430
Craft 2810215 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 7.73$ · invest 10.98$
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076695 instead of 0.078492; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.005858 instead of 0.007430
Craft 2809586 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 7.72$ · invest 12.14$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075676 instead of 0.078492; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004966 instead of 0.007430
Craft 2810334 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 7.70$ · invest 11.98$
rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.078492; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.007430

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build