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The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +18.05$

Invest 64.98$

Average return 83.03$

ROI +27.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 161.56 $, profit at most −78.54 $

float premium: at least 89 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

19.85 $

at 19.85

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

45.13 $

at 5.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.98 $ +18.05 (+27.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

39.15 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

130.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088235

197.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162352

190.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2823570 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.81$ · invest 60.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163956 instead of 0.176470
Craft 2827826 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.33$ · invest 52.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172166 instead of 0.176470
Craft 2823571 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.18$ · invest 59.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2831375 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.03$ · invest 55.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2844264 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 17.79$ · invest 64.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178313 instead of 0.176470
Craft 2841572 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.10$ · invest 61.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build