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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +34.09$

Invest 64.09$

Average return 98.18$

ROI +53.2%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 163.15 $, profit at most −64.97 $

float premium: at least 88 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

52.59 $

at 5.84

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0848

11.50 $

at 11.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.09 $ +34.09 (+53.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

46.74 $

at 5.84

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

9.77 $

at 9.77

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0859

11.50 $

at 11.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.01 $ +29.87 (+43.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

111.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

115.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

97.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

122.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2828939 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 34.52$ · invest 63.17$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163058 instead of 0.165865
Craft 2828462 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 32.98$ · invest 66.86$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165501 instead of 0.165865

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build