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The Dead Hand Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +124.37₴

Invest 310.78₴

Average return 435.15₴

ROI +40.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 801.32 ₴, profit at most −366.17 ₴

float premium: at least 457 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

34.12 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

276.66 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 310.78 ₴ +124.37 (+40.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

10.24 ₴

at 10.24

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

170.59 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

122.96 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.79 ₴ +2.09 (+0.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

530.15 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

272.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

183.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

354.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

162.89 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

191.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.11 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +74.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2825508 · The Chroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 133.03₴ · invest 321.12₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2837844 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 132.32₴ · invest 314.42₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005627 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2834135 · The Gallery Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 125.93₴ · invest 313.88₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005648 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2840918 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 124.69₴ · invest 384.25₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2840168 · The Lake Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 120.43₴ · invest 297.40₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.005750

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build