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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −95.86$

Invest at least 171.44$

Average return 75.59$

ROI −55.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 171.44 $, profit at most −95.86 $

float premium: at least 100 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

51.73 $

at 6.47

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7.58 $

at 7.58

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

9.77 $

at 9.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.07 $ +6.51 (+9.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

86.23 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

97.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

122.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2824037 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 6.56$ · invest 72.60$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.162755; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.074436

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build