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The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 179.65₴

Invest 3 421.73₴

Average return 5 601.37₴

ROI +63.7%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 8 384.15 ₴, profit at most −2 782.78 ₴

float premium: at least 4 874 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2 309.81 ₴

at 288.73

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

665.85 ₴

at 665.85

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

446.06 ₴

at 446.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 421.73 ₴ +2 179.65 (+63.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 933 ₴

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

665.85 ₴

at 665.85

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

3 122.41 ₴

at 446.06

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

1 669.86 ₴

at 834.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 458.12 ₴ +2 909.87 (+53.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2 309.81 ₴

at 288.73

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

446.06 ₴

at 446.06

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

834.93 ₴

at 834.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 590.80 ₴ +2 356.39 (+65.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 078 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

577.45 ₴

at 288.73

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

2 046.96 ₴

at 409.39

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2 504.79 ₴

at 834.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 129.20 ₴ +2 892.96 (+56.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 495 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

866.18 ₴

at 288.73

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

665.85 ₴

at 665.85

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 230.30 ₴

at 446.06

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

834.93 ₴

at 834.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 597.26 ₴ +2 733.25 (+59.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 019.47 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 068.28 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

10 358.39 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 683.39 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 504.99 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 936.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2832381 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2 216.02₴ · invest 3 590.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076230 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): float at most 0.005451 instead of 0.004536
Craft 2831870 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 2 127.25₴ · invest 3 513.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.004536
Craft 2823086 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2 068.37₴ · invest 3 605.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075770 instead of 0.075185; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): float at most 0.005049 instead of 0.004536

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build